Don't be too alarmed by the odds we were quoted for keeping our permit. As Dr. Sands always says, everything is 50/50. It either happens or it doesn't.
Also, the Suwannee Canal into the swamp will be open for sure - it's not affected by water levels. We may be able to get Canal Run shelter or they may open the day use shelters along the canal for us for overnights.
What you should be alarmed by is the alligator count. According to the Famous Alligator Forecast, the canal is a quite a popular hangout.
Even the fall forecast of "Very High" is a slight downgrade from the summer when the canal red-lined at "Gators Galore."
That probably had something to do with the rare "cooperative feeding event" that occurred there on July 10, 2010.
Here is the unedited footage:
But please, if you only watch one version, watch it narrated:
Ok, it's true that low water level is a contributing factor to these feeding frenzies. But the chances of it happening to us are still just 50/50.